Limits of Power
Right now we are watching the United States flex its power and its effect on the world community is powerful. What you say, we are financially going down for the count. We are bogged down in Iraq, things are looking bleak in Afghanistan, and we are broke. What the hell are you talking about? What I am talking about is that when we suffer the whole world suffers.
This to me is the greatest lesson about old thinking and new thinking. Russia invades Georgia (still up in the air on who really caused this and my bet is on encouraging Neocons and belligerent Georgians. and of course Russians itching for a fight) and John McCain wants to start the Cold War. Then the economy goes in the dumper, oil prices fall and Russia is in big trouble. Not only Russia, but Iran and Venezuela are in big trouble. When they were awash in cash, they could afford their belligerence and military adventurism. Now they are all over extended. If the world economy continues its descent, many of leaders who have bought support at the expense of democracy may just find themselves in deep do-do. There was already unhappiness in Iraq as they invested in terrorism and nukes instead of their own people and now the cupboard is getting really bare. Could it be that the new conventional wisdom is that we are all connected? Could it be that economic prosperity for one, works for all? What a concept.
This to me is the great lesson of the reality that has been out there for a while, but nobody really got it. Power is purely economic. Military power is really just an adjunct to economic power. And oh how we have not taken care of our economic power. We have failed to repair a leaky boat (no infrastructure upgrades, no real investment in our human capital in terms of education, healthcare, childcare, etc), and now we are out of gas (no real national energy policy) and a storm is brewing. But every cloud has a silver lining. While we were not investing in our own country, we were borrowing madly so we could buy the goods and services of the world, and when we went away, the rest of the world is also in deep do-do because they have no one to buy their stuff. They need us and they need us bad. And as any drug dealer can tell you when the addict really needs his fix, needing is the root of real power.
And that is the secret to rebuilding our nation and building a promise for our children’s future. The rest of the world needs for us to rebuild ourselves and they are going to loan us money at really good interest rates. But I have been beating that drum to death in these pages (don’t worry about the deficit, rebuild America). My point here is that real power has very little to do with the outrageous amounts we spend on the military in today’s world. That is what has changed and only our most progressive have recognized it. None of them, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, North Korea, or even China can live without us. The only ones that can are the true nutcases who want to destroy the world (Al Qaeda and other radical extreme religious groups). But here is the really interesting thing. High tech weapons don’t do much to defeat them. Its really a mission of search and destroy done primarily with low tech toys like good police work, and some limited military action. So why are we spending fortunes (more than all other countries in the world combined) on the military and not investing in our economic future? Maybe we could rethink that.
But the title of this little blog is titled Limits of Power. I stole this from Andrew Bacevich’s book, “Limits of Power”. He points out that military adventurism to expand our power are loss leaders that pay no dividends. Military power executed in the 18th and 19th century paid large returns in both our wealth and our power. Since then it has been a losing enterprise that is bankrupting our treasury. But we still evaluate our power in terms of military power alone. Now is the time to cut the cord. Russia has no one to sell their oil to if they alienate the West and their decadent economy cannot pick up the slack. Hugo Chavez has bought off his citizens with tons of government spending that he can no longer afford with falling oil prices. Iran may no longer be able to afford not investing in their people so they can build a nuke. It’s a new world out there and we did not even need to fire a shot. Think about it. It could you a whole new perspective on where and how we spend our money. On the humorous side, if things start to get tense in the world, just threaten to have a depression and see if they don’t start playing ball.
Bottom line here is that George Bush and the conservative Republicans have it exactly wrong and they wasted our treasury proving it. Now it is time to turn the page.